Can Tomorrow’s Mood Be Predicted? Unveiling the Power of Physiological and Behavioral Data!

A recent study published in JMIR Formative Research introduces a groundbreaking method for predicting next-day affective states using multimodal wearable data.

Key Insights:

  • Long-Term Data Collection:
    • A 12-month study on 20 college students provided extensive data on daily affective states, sleep, activity, and physiological metrics.
    • Smartwatches, smart rings, and smartphones were used to collect a variety of data points, including sleep patterns, heart rate, physical activity, and daily behavior.
  • Predictive Accuracy:
    • Random Forest (RF) models demonstrated strong predictive capabilities, with an accuracy of ~81% in mood prediction and ~72% in predicting stress.
    • The smart ring was the most important modality for predicting positive affect (PA), followed by the smartphone and smartwatch.
  • Impact of Sleep and Activity:
    • Sleep and physical activity were identified as the most influential factors in predicting next-day positive and negative affective states (PA and NA), emphasizing their importance in mental health management.

At Centralive, we are dedicated to supporting researchers in utilizing wearable data and machine learning to create scalable, reliable solutions for mental health monitoring. Our platform enables seamless data integration and empowers researchers to explore complex datasets to enhance predictive health models.

📖 Link to download the full paper

Authors: Salar Jafarlou, Jocelyn Lai, Iman Azimi, Zahra Mousavi, Sina Labbaf, Ramesh C Jain, Nikil Dutt, Jessica L Borelli, Amir Rahmani